Everton vs Manchester City prediction, odds and betting tips
Manchester City will not have everything their own way at Goodison Park, but they should come through this match unscathed.
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Everton vs Manchester City predictions
Manchester City are almost there.
Pep Guardiola’s side are on the verge of replicating a feat that has only ever been achieved by Sir Alex Ferguson’s Manchester United and the Liverpool of the 1980s.
A fifth league title in six seasons is within City’s grasp. They are also looking to replicate United’s 1998/99 accomplishment of winning a treble of Premier League, Champions League and FA Cup.
There is still work to do in each of those competitions, but a run of 10 consecutive victories in the top flight has seen City take control of the title race.
Since losing 1-0 to Tottenham Hotspur in early February, the reigning champions have taken 37 points from a possible 39.
City are the favourites in all the tournaments in which they remain, although their Champions League semi-final against Real Madrid remains in the balance after a 1-1 draw at the Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.
With the return fixture at the Eithad Stadium scheduled for Wednesday, Everton will hope City are distracted this weekend.
Yet anyone who has watched Guardiola’s team in action in recent weeks knows that the prospect of an unfocused performance is unlikely.
City have found their best form of 2022/23 in the most important part of the campaign. And even if Guardiola rests one or two players, their deputies will be more than capable of stepping up.
Everton vs Manchester City betting tips
Everton suddenly have belief again but denying Manchester City victory is a tall order for the relegation battlers.
Manchester City -1 handicap – 20/21 (bet365)
Last Monday could prove to be decisive in the battle against relegation.
Nottingham Forest and Everton were the day’s winners courtesy of their respective victories over Southampton (4-3) and Brighton & Hove Albion (5-1).
Given the wider context and the form of the two teams, Everton’s triumph at the Amex Stadium must go down as one of the most stunning results of this Premier League season.
A team that has struggled to score goals under both Frank Lampard and Sean Dyche ran riot against Brighton, who still had an outside chance of Champions League qualification.
Any sort of win would have done for the Toffees, but the manner of their success will have significantly boosted confidence at Goodison Park.
Everton now have a two-point buffer above the bottom three and their last two games of the season, against Wolverhampton Wanderers and Bournemouth, look winnable.
Sunday’s match, by contrast, is essentially a free hit. Anything Dyche’s team are able to collect against Manchester City would be seen as a bonus.
Goodison will be rocking before kick-off and throughout this encounter, but City’s ability to dominate possession could quieten the crowd.
Guardiola’s men should emerge victorious in this one. The -1 handicap could be an astute selection – even if City only win by a single-goal margin, your stake will be refunded.
Both teams to score – 19/20 (bet365)
In their thrashing of Brighton, Everton scored five goals in a Premier League game for the first time since September 2020, when Carlo Ancelotti was at the helm.
Scoring goals has been a problem for the Toffees throughout this season. Even after Monday, they have the third-worst attacking record in the division.
Everton have put the ball in the back of the net just 32 times, which works out at less than a goal a game on average.
It was therefore remarkable to see them run riot on the south coast.
Everything suddenly seemed to click: Abdoulaye Doucoure excelled in his customary box-to-box role; Dominic Calvert-Lewin knitted everything together up top; and Dwight McNeil produced his best performance since joining the club last summer.
Everton will now believe they can breach Manchester City’s backline. Somewhat surprisingly, Guardiola’s team have not been especially solid of late.
City have kept just one clean sheet in their last seven top-flight outings. Everton’s relegation rivals Nottingham Forest, Leicester City, Southampton and Leeds United have all scored against them in recent months.
Goals at both ends looks like a sensible selection for Sunday’s showdown in Liverpool.
Julian Alvarez to score any time – 6/5 (bet365)
Guardiola seems to have settled on a preferred Champions League XI, with Bernardo Silva the most notable addition compared to the standard Premier League line-up.
Julian Alvarez, for his part, has not yet done enough to earn a spot in the European team, but that actually increases his chances of featuring from the first whistle on Sunday.
Deployed as one of two attacking midfielders alongside Kevin De Bruyne in the 2-1 win against Leeds last weekend, we should expect the Argentine to be on the team sheet against Everton.
In the unlikely event he does not start, Alvarez will likely get plenty of minutes off the bench – if City are winning and Guardiola wants to rest one or two stars, or if they are losing or drawing and need a game-changing substitute.
Alvarez has scored 0.6 goals per 90 minutes this term. Of those who have made more than 20 appearances, only Erling Haaland, Callum Wilson, Harry Kane and Roberto Firmino have better records.
How to watch Everton vs Manchester City
- Location: Goodison Park, Liverpool, England.
- Date and time: Sunday 14 May, 2pm.
- How to watch: Sky Sports Main Event and Sky Sports Premier League.
About the author
Greg Lea is a freelance football writer from London. He predominantly covers the Premier League and has had work published by the Guardian, FourFourTwo, ESPN and others.
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